Bored tonight. So I worked this up in a spreadsheet. Here is everyone's chance of picking first.
martinga111 Gary Martin 108
5.52%
Bigsampson Hank Coates 53
2.71%
Keepkool Kevin Driscoll 51
2.61%
Nichiren Jason Theriault 49
2.51%
59nolimit Mike Cott 47
2.40%
Spencer Spencer 42
2.15%
Wall Tony...
I like it. Takes away some of the advantage offered by the jersey purchase. Buying a jersey was essentially the same as shooting 5 matches (or 3 if you round up).
But it really ought to be about shooting matches anyway.